According to a market analysis by Trimble Transportation, the company assesses the market development of heavy battery-electric trucks in Europe based on current registration figures. The study, published on November 17, considers the new registrations in the period from January to the end of September 2025.
Share of heavy electric trucks increases slightly
According to Trimble Transportation, the share of heavy battery-electric trucks in all new registrations in Europe in the period from the first to the third quarter of 2025 rose from 1.5 percent in the previous year's period to 1.8 percent. For the third quarter of 2025 alone, the analysis shows a share of 2.2 percent of the new registrations.
A map presented in the study shows the share of heavy battery-electric vehicles in all new registrations by country, as well as the change compared with the corresponding period
of the previous year. In this way, the company illustrates the growth dynamics in the individual markets.
Significant differences between countries
The analysis identifies Switzerland and Norway as countries with a relatively high share of heavy battery-electric trucks among new registrations. According to the provider, the Netherlands and Sweden follow with also above-average shares.
The study describes a geographic pattern: the further a market moves from northwestern Europe into southern or eastern regions, the lower the share of heavy electric vehicles in new registrations.
Austria and Belgium record an increase in new registrations of heavy battery-electric trucks of more than 60 percent compared with the previous year's period. France and Germany follow this growth trend, but according to the company they achieve lower growth rates than some of the aforementioned countries.
Netherlands with high EV share and subsidy program
For the
Netherlands, the market study shows a share of heavy battery-electric trucks of 11.2 percent of the new registrations in the third quarter of 2025. Trimble Transportation points in this context to the national incentive program AanZET for the purchase of new battery-electric trucks, which came into force in October. In the company's assessment, this program is likely to further increase the share of electric vehicles in the new registrations in the coming quarters.
Cost developments and regulatory framework conditions
The current market assessment also builds on a previous cost-related study that the company published in a separate contribution. In this analysis, the company comes to the result that heavy battery-electric trucks on domestic routes in the Netherlands are already close to cost parity with conventional diesel vehicles.
As central factors, Trimble Transportation cites lower energy costs as well as a planned
road-use charge for trucks in the Netherlands, tied to carbon dioxide emissions, starting in 2026. According to the company, this combination should economically advantage battery-electric vehicles, especially on longer routes.
In addition, the analysis points to European framework conditions such as an expanded pricing of carbon dioxide emissions in road traffic and requirements for expanding charging infrastructure. According to the company, these instruments should further support the economics of heavy electric vehicles.
Outlook for further European markets
Based on current developments, Trimble Transportation expects that similar dynamics as in the Netherlands will also take hold in the Nordic countries, in the countries of the region Germany, Austria, Switzerland as well as in France. The company expects that gradually further parts of Europe will follow and the search for fully electric transport capacity will increasingly become a practical option for shippers and
